Saturday, January 31, 2009

Just Read: The Man Who Loved China


www.betterworld.com

As promised, the review of Simon Winchester's book.

Loved it!

I highly recommend this book if you are interested in science, China, Cambridge, philandering, good writing, the left wing, or pretty much any topic. This book was highly engaging throughout; I could barely put it down. I'm really not sure what else to say about it, except - read it!

Ocean Acidification

How many people have heard about this terrible phenomenon?

Apparently as the CO2 in the atmosphere goes up, so does the CO2 in the sea. And when that happens, the pH drops. Ocean acidity results in dissolution of the shells of pteropods (a food source for salmon) while they are still alive, it decreases the calcification of mussels and oysters, it decreases fertilization, and increases juvenile mortality of sea creatures including fish. This could have a far-reaching effect on the ecosystem, wrecking not only ocean habitats, but possibly having effects on the watersheds where anadromous fish usually head.

This talk was given by Richard Feely of NOAA. I will try to link to this talk if they ever decide to put it up.

So many things to worry about, so little time.

***

UPDATED: Links for an NYT story and CBD press release.

Climate Change Conference

I have been to several climate change conferences and other conference sessions on climate change. However, I decided to go to this one because I need to learn more about California.

I am so glad I went. This conference was, hands down, the best conference I have been to. And the highlight was a talk given by climate scientist and Nobel recipient Steven Schneider of Stanford. It was insightful, hilarious, inspiring, and the best summary of the best climate science I have heard to date, including a discussion of how to communicate the risk and uncertainty involved.

I would highly recommend that everyone watch the taped version of this speech. Being a government conference, the video link looks quite complicated, but I think it is worth it. Schneider gave the first talk in Plenary D.

If you've ever wanted to learn more about climate change from someone who really knows what they're talking about, this is it.

I may just have to go be his student...

Transit Adventure III

After the Thursday night hockey game, we arrived home and went to bed after 12:30. I had a climate change conference to go to the next day, and I didn't want to miss the plenary, so I got up at 6:30. I thought that if I caught the 7:30 bus I might be able to make it to the Embarcadero by 8, but I wouldn't have been able to do so by walking to the Castro.

So I headed over to the bus stop. I got there at 7:24, because Matt says you have to get there early to get a seat. There were no people. And no bus, despite the fact that the bus usually takes a 10 minute break there.

Shortly thereafter, a car pulled up to the stop and the front window rolled down. I saw these two older women that I'd run into in the stairwell of my building. We're going down to Castro, they said, would you like a ride?

I thought this over for about one second, before deciding, yes, I would in fact like a ride. After all, the car was nice, they lived in my building, and the bus was obviously not coming.

So I got in.

Scoot over they said, we're picking more people up.

And sure enough, at the next bus stop, we picked up a gentleman who apparently had been getting rides from these ladies for quite some time. I suspect he might have met them just the way I did - at the bus stop. The lady in the front seat told me that they always try to give people rides, but lots of people don't take them up on it - after all, it's not like they know them.

The old lady that was driving the car flew down the hill like nobody's business, with the other lady reminding her to slow down because they had a new passenger. Apparently the driver used to work for Muni. She got down the hill in about two minutes, a trek that would have taken me 20 minutes on foot and 10 minutes on the bus. Then she dropped the other three of us off right in front of the subway station.

I hopped on a train and was at the conference by 7:45.

Only in San Francisco.

Transit Adventure II

Awhile back we were sitting in the back of a double-length bus when a young man headed toward the back stairs to exit, but instead stopped, got out a giant marker, and tagged the bus - right in front of at least 5 people.

I said, "Seriously?" really loudly. Matt elbowed me. Then the kid looked over at me, and I looked right at him and lifted my hands and shoulders in a "What the Hell?" kind of posture. He calmly turned and got off the bus.

I proceeded to lament the rest of the trip that I should have been more forceful with this kid. Maybe told him that the rest of the passengers don't appreciate riding in a crappy bus. And that muni would eventually have to pay to clean it up. Matt thinks I just should have shut up and not worried about it, because what difference would it make.

I just hate feeling so spineless.

Transit Adventure I

On our way home from the hockey game, we had to transfer from the train to the good old Muni to take us home. This transfer happened around midnight.

On a ride that is supposed to take well over 30 minutes, our driver got us to our destination in just 15 minutes. He apparently spent all the while talking to himself, which is generally a behavior typical of bus passengers, NOT the bus driver.

After we got off the bus, we discovered that he'd been driving the whole way with the engine compartment cover in its open position - in other words perpendicular to the back of the bus, sticking out into traffic. (I had a great picture of this on my cell phone, but being technologically inept, I apparently failed to save it.)

Note to self: don't ride muni after midnight.

Hockey Night

For Christmas I got Matt two tickets to the Sharks vs. Coyotes hockey game. So Thursday night we trekked down to San Jose on the train to take part in this lovely sporting event.

If any of you have been to a hockey game before, you probably know that the clientele is generally blue collar, sometimes maybe a bit snaggle-toothed, often quite drunk, and throwing around the f-bomb.

Well.

Never have I seen a crowd so white collar and stuck up as the one in San Jose. Apparently the Silicon Valleyites are actually hockey fans. For example, the man next to me was dressed in khakis and a button down shirt, but nevertheless proceeded to have a running commentary throughout the entire game about how stupid the refs were and on and on. Also used the f-bomb liberally.

Then we noticed that the stuck-up button-ups were not afraid to tell people what's what. Repeatedly people who came in just seconds into the start of play were told by other spectators to wait on the stairs until play stops before people would stand up to let them sit down. Now I know it is annoying when people have to walk by you, but give me a break.

Next, apparently because they have to fit more than 17,000 people into the arena, you cannot see all of the action without leaning forward in your seat. And folks, we did not pay $10 for obstructed view tickets as we used to do at AWA. No, we paid good money for these seats. So naturally we leaned forward so we could see the puck. Matt was told in no uncertain terms by the girl behind him that she couldn't possibly see when he leaned forward. So he was forced to miss the action for the rest of the game. (Despite the fact that I was leaning forward nearly the whole time and the girl behind me never said anything.)

Then even after the Coyotes lost, as they are wont to do, a Sharks fan on the train told us that Coyotes fans belong in the back. I kind of laughed at the time, and said, come on, we lost! But then I thought to myself: Is it really okay for somebody to joke about sending someone else to the back of the bus?

Honestly, if I ever wanted to go see another hockey game, I would rather drive to Glendale from my parents' house and hang out with the roughnecks. At least they're not elitist.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Evolutionary Protester

I read with interest your article on David Attenborough’s evolutionary beliefs (Jan 27th). Interestingly he said ‘Evolution is not a theory; it is a fact” Which of course is true. It can be scientifically proven that variations can occur within a species over time (Micro evolution). However followers of evolution then take a huge step of faith and claim that over time species have changed into something completely different and have over eons of time eventually become a new species (Macro evolution). If this is true we should have evidence of trillions of transitional forms, not just a handful of doubtable ones. Even Darwin admitted "Not one change of species into another is on record ... we cannot prove that a single species has been changed." (Charles Darwin, My Life & Letters).

David Attenborough is well respected in his field however in the scientific community there are many macro evolutionary dissenters. Unfortunately when discovered they often find there funding reduced or at worse they loose their position. This has been particularly highlighted in the recent US Documentary by Ben Stein called ‘Expelled.’ This excellent film highlights the negative effect evolution has had in history.

Adolf Hitler for instance believed he was doing the world a favour by ridding the planet of the weak and ineffectual. Modern racism also has its root in the theory of evolution in that there are perceived weaker and less evolved races. Many of the early settlers of Australia considered the Australian Aborigines to be less intelligent than the “white man,” because aborigines had not evolved as far as whites on the evolutionary scale.

Abortion and euthanasia are also tolerated because of the belief that man came about by random acts of nature and therefore is expendable. Many will remember being taught at school that as an embryo develops in its mother’s womb it goes through a fish stage with gill slits, etc., and other evolutionary stages until it becomes human.
Shockingly this theory was later proven to be a fraud and yet is still taught in schools and universities. The result being as people were told that the child growing in a mother’s womb was just an animal reflecting its evolutionary ancestry, there was less of a problem about destroying it.

Paradoxically schools will continue to teach children they evolved from pond scum, are here merely by a freak of nature, and then wonder why they suffer from low self esteem.

Charles Darwin undoubtedly handed the Humanists and Atheists followers a perceived weapon in which to attack faith in God. However the selfish and uncompassionate use of that weapon is now evidenced in the downfall and folly of many. As we remember Charles Darwin’s legacy, I for one shall not be celebrating.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Publishing 101 - Various Print Options

Do you need an agent? Should you self-publish? Are small presses worth pursuing? There are a ton of options for authors these days and I thought I would outline some various thoughts on the subject in today's post.

LARGE PUBLISHER
This is looked on by most authors as the brass ring they are all reaching for. It is a very difficult achievement to realize. Most large publishers do not accept unsolicited works so it almost always requires obtaining an agent first. It is not uncommon to receive multiple rejections from agents then another pile of rejections as they submit to publishers. The process is extremely long. Probably a minimum of 3 years from book completion to printing and 5 years is not out of the question. The author will have little or no say in issues such as book title, cover design, price, distribution methods, or formats produced. On the positive side it will come with an advance (typically $5,000 - $12,000 for a first time author) and the likelihood of receiving attention by reviewers and bookstore shelf space. The downside is large publishers are driven by numbers and while they can produce “buy-in” (putting books on shelves) if there is not “sell through” these books come back to the publisher. If the author does not “earn out” the advance in what will seem like an extremely short time frame they may be quick to remainder (sell the bulk of books “by the pound”) to discount outlets and drop the author. This can mean a very short lived success. But if the book is good, and catches on, then it will probably produce the largest amounts sold and highest income for the author.

INDEPENDENT PUBLISHER (aka Small Press)
Today there are literally thousands of indies so much in fact that they have their own trade associations, awards, and the like. They are much easier for an author to get their foot in the door and are more willing to take on the risk of a new author. They accept unsolicited works (i.e. you don’t have to have an agent). While they can obtain reviews, it will be harder for them (Reviewers typically only critique 1-2% of the books submitted). They may be more willing to listen to authors in the areas of title and cover design, but still will remain ultimate deciding power over these and all marketing activities. They will generally have a “smaller press run” in the neighborhood of 2,000 to 5,000 books and utilize a wholesale distributor which will catalog and sell their titles along with a number of other independent publishers to bookstores. In most cases books will be “available” for order from any bookstore but only a few will actually carry them on their shelves and will probably only try 1 – 2 books. The good news is they have much longer time lines then large publishers and are willing to stick with an author while he grows a following. Success will be highly dependent on the author promoting his own book through time and energy but the publisher will bear the financial burden or copy edit, cover design, layout, and printing.

SUBSIDIZED SELF PUBLISHERS
Here I am speaking of the typical “self-publishing” mainstays such as iUniverse, LuLu, BookSurge, Xliblis, and OutskirtPress. Because of the negative connotations of the term “vanity press” many market themselves as “subsidized publishers”, “supported self-publishers” etc. Here there is no editorial decision made on the “worth of a book” before producing, the author is paying to have their book produced. In almost all cases these companies utilize POD* (print on demand) technology.

They do offer services that most authors would be hard pressed to do on their own such as cover design and book layout (but at a pretty steep markup). In addition, they offer a wide range of services such as copy editing, and marketing assistance but these are ALWAYS overpriced. I highly recommend an author that uses these organizations look elsewhere for these services. For instance copy editing from iUniverse runs $0.022 per word ($2,200 for a typical sized novel) where a freelance editor would charge $350 - $800 for the same service.

As I mentioned these organizations utilize POD technology and once again your books will be available “for order” from a bookstore or on-line from companies such as Amazon when using them. However you will have virtually no success with reviewers (who generally won’t even look at a book with an ISBN from one of these organizations) and since there is no warehousing, bookstores will not carry them on the shelves since they loose the “return policy” aspect that their business is based on.

Now comes the “worst” part of using these organizations. While the author pays all the fees to produce the book they still receive only a royalty on sales!! This makes no financial sense for the author (although a great model for the publisher). What the author is receiving here is convenience. It is analogous to going to the grocery store and buying a shish-ka-bob in the meet section fully assembled. If you were to buy the meet, skewers, and vegetables separately and make them yourself you would save a bunch of money.

I personally do not recommend this method of publishing to anyone except those who have huge amounts of disposable income. There are so many less expensive ways of going about this that puts a higher percentage of the sale into the author’s pocket.

POD INDEPENDENT PUBLISHER
This is a fairly new business model. Many small independents that are wishing to “hedge their bets” on an author may utilize the same POD technology to reduce their initial investment costs. Once again there is no charge to the author, but there is also not an original press run. The publisher will provide editing, cover design, and layout services. This can result in a higher “per book” cost which may make the publisher price the book “above the market”. As a business person I can see the value in this model to both the publisher and the author. There are some downside in the areas of bookstore stocking – but given that even independents that print books have obstacles in this area I don’t think it is significant enough to make a huge impact on the overall success of the book. The biggest problem I have with this model is the publisher is not really doing much more than the author could do on their own. The only difference is they are “fronting” the money to produce the book in return for a bigger percentage of the profit.

POD SELF PUBLISHING
This is actually an extremely attractive model for the person who is not afraid of rolling up their sleeves. It benefits from a relatively small “start up cost” and is definitely more financially lucrative than using the subsidized vanity presses. With this model the author has 100% control of everything: cover price, cover design, layout, distribution channels and the like. For exactly the same investment they would use for a POD vanity press they can receive 100% of the profits instead of a small royalty. If you have any graphic design experience you definitely should take this route as you will have virtually no start-up cost. If you don’t have these skills you can hire a free lancer do your design for $500 - $1000. NOTE: Art school students is a great resource to get good quality design at reasonable prices or use Craig’s list. You will want the cover done in something like Photoshop and should be given to you as a CMYK .tiff file at 300 dpi (at full size). The interior should be laid out in either Qurak Xpress or Adobe InDesign programs.

NOTE: Whether you are using the vanity or self-publishing I highly recommend hiring a professional editor to “polish the book”. Put an ad in Craig’s list and send a sample chapter to a number of the people who respond…you can get a good editor to do a novel sized book for between $350 - $1000). If you are extremely good at self-editing you can of course skip this cost.

Once you have a book in “print ready format” all you need is printing and distribution. This is remarkably easy you will receive the same quality as the vanity POD’s (because you will use the same companies). I suggest you setup both a CreateSpace account and a LightningSource account and sent the same print ready files to both of them. I could write a whole post on why you need to use two but to boil it down …. Lightning Source will get you distribution into bookstores (through Ingram typically 55% discount) and CreateSpace will get you distribution into Amazon (typically 40% discount).

Because it is POD you have a very small start-up cost ($75 for LightningSource and $40 for Amazon). The price of your books is directly related to number of pages (.85 + .012(pages)) for create space and .90 + .013(pages) for Lightning Source). As an example let’s assume you have a 300 page book selling for $15.00. The amount you would receive would be:

  • $10.55 for books sold directly by author
  • $4.55 for books sold on Amazon
  • $1.95 for books sold to the bookstore

TRUE SELF PUBLISHING
The last choice which will potentially place the largest amount of money in the pocket of the author is true self publishing. In this option they basically become a small press. Only an author that really feels confident in their books success will want to go this route. But for instance it could be a good choice for an author that has already established a following through previously published works. The advantage of this over the POD route is a lower cost per book rate. But the downside is a higher up-front cost. I would suggest an initial run of 1,500 to 2,000 books and again for a 300 page novel this could result in unit prices of $2.00 to $2.30 a book. So again with a $15.00 list price the money to the author would be:

  • $13.00 for books sold directly by author
  • $4.75 for books sold to Amazon
  • $4.00 for books sold through the bookstores

SO WHAT SHOULD YOU CHOOSE?
There are many factors to consider when making your choice such as: patience, tolerance to rejection, need for control, desire for external validation, tolerance for risk, whether you are a self-starter or not and ultimately whether you want to just have a book printed for yourself and family or a widespread distribution plays more into the decision making process.

If an author places a high value on the opinions of others then they should definitely avoid any form of self or subsidized publishing. These books will always be thought of as “not making the grade” by many regardless of the number of units sold. There will always be a stigma that if the book was truly “good” then it would have been produced via a traditional publisher.

If the author values control then self-publishing is definitely the right choice for them. If they were a new author I would suggest self print on demand as the cost of full self-publishing makes it quite a gamble. If they already had a few books published I think going true self publishing is worth it as the higher per book profit is worth the up-front investment.

For myself, I would never use a vanity POD – as I think it is a bad call on straight business decision principals. But they do offer a tremendous convenience factor and many people are willing to pay exorbitant prices to have less that they have to do personally.

I will say for myself (in regards to my husband’s books) we have run the whole gambit. I started off by getting an agent and pursuing the large publisher. When we still were without a contract after 15 months I decided to submit to some smaller presses while I investigated self-publishing. I got to the state of actually printing up 300 “review copy” books when a small press offered a contract and we have now produced his first two books (The Crown Conspiracy and Avempartha) through them.

*POD - many confuse this as a publishing format which it is not - it really is just a technology. With POD trade paperbacks are produced literally one at a time. This eliminates large press runs and warehousing of books altogether. When a purchase is made a book is printed and shipped usually within 24 – 48 hours of order. There are many disadvantages with using POD (will cover in more detail in a future post) but paramount is that they are usually not returnable and bookstores won't carry POD titles. Also some reviewers will not consider POD works (or self-published works) as they see these as "inferior products" because they did not have to go through the rigors of a third-party validation.

Monday, January 26, 2009

With the Stroke of a Pen

Watching Obama make so many fantastic changes to the government by just signing his name, I had forgotten how easy it was for certain other presidents to make such terrible changes. Some things seem a little too easy.

Anyway, today Obama signed two exciting directives:
  • To make the EPA reconsider whether California should be able to regulate auto emissions linked to global warming (they were denied this ability under Bush)
  • To make the Transportation Department require average fuel economy of 35 mpg by 2020 or sooner.
Not surprisingly, Republicans are already complaining about how liberal Obama is [Sorry, I can't find the article to link to anymore]. I still think he's not liberal enough.

READ



My mother will be so proud of me. On Sunday, Matt and I got library cards! Aside from seeing a gigantic penis entering a person's mouth on someone's computer screen, the library was pretty nice.

I already finished one book - Letter to my Daughter by Maya Angelou. It was okay, and a very fast read. Now I'm in the middle of The Man who Loved China by Simon Winchester. This book is pretty awesome so far. Of course I also enjoy China. There are some weird things about the writing - like repeated bits of information, but the content is fascinating. It is about a scientist named Joseph Needham who basically first showed that the Chinese invented nearly everything long before anyone else. I will review further when I finish.

Matt was reminiscing about Pizza Hut's old Book It! program that rewarded kids with pizza for reading books. He wishes they had such a program for adults, but frankly, I'm not even sure they do it for kids anymore.

(In case you're wondering, the security guard at the library told Matt there's nothing they can do about the porn watchers. Maybe they should just designate a porn-watching room?)

Pope Blocks Comments


I recently visited the new 'Vatican' channel on 'You Tube' in the hope I would be able to leave a comment. It would seem comments are not allowed which shouldn't suprise me. I watched one video and was enraged that the commentator kept referring to the Pope as the Holy Father. This is the comment I would have left if I had been given the opportunity.

I protest most strongly that the Pope is not 'The Holy Father.' God is the Holy Father, see John 17:11 and many other scriptures that declare him as Father. The Pope is neither The Head of The Church. That position is owned by Jesus Christ himself, see Ephesians 5:23. The Pope is nothing more than an evil usurper who seeks to rob God of his authority on earth. He has also taken the title 'Vicar of Christ' which was a name reserved solely for the Holy Spirit and him alone. This wicked man stands before the world declaring himself to be the physical incarnation of the God head.
The title anti-Christ in its simplest form literely means, instead-of Christ. And Jesus said there will be many. And we have had many Popes. As a Protestant by way of historical tradition I will protest at every given opportunity against this man and the pseudo religious system he heads up.

Within Hours Of Office



President Obama on Friday lifted a ban on federal funding for international groups that promote or perform abortions, reversing a policy of his predecessor, George W. Bush. This means that US taxpayers money will now be funding abortions in other countries.

Anti-abortion groups criticized the move. "President Obama not long ago told the American people that he would support policies to reduce abortions, but today he is effectively guaranteeing more abortions by funding groups that promote abortion as a method of population control," said Douglas Johnson, legislative director of the National Right to Life Committee.


Republican lawmakers were critical of the new president's action. "Just a day after thousands of Americans came to Washington to celebrate the principle of life, President Obama has made it clear that reducing abortions is not one of his priorities."

Obama, a Christian? Highly unlikely. No Christian I know would ever legislate to kill a child.

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Show me the money – A bit about Royalties

Many people are confused by just how much an author can expect for each book they sell. The reality is “not too much”. And of course every contract is a bit different. I thought I would highlight a few aspects about royalties in today’s post.

ADVANCES
The reason I bring up advances is you will not receive any royalties until you “earn out” your advance. An advance is exactly that “an advance” against future royalties. So if your contract has a $5,000 advance and you earn approximately $1.00 per book then you will receive no royalties until your 5,001st book is sold. Beware of multiple book contracts that do “joint”

So what happens if you only sell 2,000 books? Well you get no royalties but you also don’t have to give back $3,000 worth of the advance. That being said, an author that does not earn out his/her advance is likely not going to be offered a second book deal. Sometimes it is worth having a smaller advance as you have a short bar to hit.

JOINT ADVANCES
Be wary of multiple book deals that specify the royalties as “joint”. For instance a 3-book deal with a $15,000 joint advance is significantly weaker than a 3-book deal with a $5,000 advance for each book. It may sound better because you get more money “right away” but think about the case where your first book passes the $5,000 threshold. It would start earning royalties at this point where in the “joint advance” situation you would have to sell 3 times the number of books before you get the first royalty check.

NET or LIST
Usually your royalty is based on either net sales or book list price. NEVER sign a contract that bases a royalty on profit. Any company who writes a contract in such a manner probably has a number of ways to account for all kinds of expenses such that the book does not make a profit and hence they owe no royalty.

Royalties on list price are the easiest to calculate and typically run about 10%. So a $12.00 book will yield the author $1.20 for each book sold regardless of where it is sold or how much it sells for (For instance Amazon may discount it by 10 – 15% but that does not matter the “amount off” comes out of Amazon’s share not the authors).

Royalties based on net sales are usually higher and will vary depending on where the book is bought from. A typical royalty on net sales would be 25% and since most sales will be made by bookstores buying through the wholesale chain the royalty works out to the same as a 10% list price. But in the rare cases where the book is bought directly from the publisher, or from the wholesaler, or certain online venues it may be higher. For instance books sold by publisher would yield a $3.00 royalty, those sold by the wholesaler $1.80, Since bookstores pay typically 60% of list to the wholesaler the royalty on these would be $1.20.

Check very carefully what the royalty is based on. A contract that is written as 10% net sales is actually a very low percentage.

AGENT FEES
If you have an agent then you will usually have a 10% to 15% agent fee. So your $1.20 royalty will actually put $1.08 - $1.02 in your pocket while the agent gets $0.12 to $0.18.

BOOKS SOLD BY AUTHOR
I have never seen a contract where books sold by the author receive a royalty. What happens in this case is you buy your books at an author’s discount (typically 50% but can be as low as 25%) and the money you make is the difference between the price you sell an the price you bought the book for.

BOOK FORMATS
Many contracts will have different royalties for different formats. For instance mass market paperbacks typically only have a 6% - 7% of list price so for a $6.99 paperback the author gets $0.42 - $0.50). Royalties may be different for trade paperback verses hard cover. Royalties on e-books are typically very high, for instance 50% since the publisher has significantly reduced production costs on these formats.

QUANTITIES SOLD
It is also common to have different royalties based on quantities sold. For instance you could receive 10% List on the first 5,000, 12% on the next 5,000, and 13% for anything over 10,000 books sold.

FREQUENCY OF PAYMENTS
This is another aspect that will be spelled out in the contract but the most common is quarterly. There is usually some amount of time between the end of the quarter and when the check comes (typically 30 – 45 days) while they tally up the sales and write the checks. Some publishers will pay twice a year but this is not standard. I have yet to see a contract that pays monthly as the accounting overhead would be pretty high.

BOOK PRICE
I have yet to see a contract where the publisher lists the anticipated list price of the book in the contract so the reality is you are signing a contract with no clear idea what your actual payments will be. While they may not put it in writing you may wish to discuss with them “their plans” (not contractually binding of course) for production and suggested list price. I highly recommend you look at other books they carry and how they do most of their selling (online, through bookstores, through Amazon etc) and find “comparable” books (similar length and genre) to get a “ball park” so you can at least get a feel for your anticipated royalty.

MORE IS NOT BETTER
If the publisher generally sells for a high price is that good for me? Absolutely not! On the surface of things you might think – ya I’ll make twice as much royalty on a book selling for $24 rather than $12. But ultimately it is the buyer (the invisible hand of the market) that determines the value of the book. A highly overpriced book will not sell well (or at all). Sales are inversely proportional to price. So you might only sell 200 books at $24.00 where you could sell 2,000 books at $12.00.

In fact this brings us to a subject that is the worst atrocity in the publishing business - PublishAmerica. (I’ll do a whole post on them at some time). They claim to be a “traditional printer” and in some respects they are in so far as they don’t ask the author any up-front money to get the book in print. But…they place their list price WAY beyond what the market will bear. A typical example is a 156 page paperback for $24.95. This book will NEVER sell to anyone except the author’s friends and families and at that price they only have to sell a few to make up the costs they put into the book for cover design and layout. Where they actually make their money is authors who buy copies from them to resell on their own (at a dismal author discount – I think 35% off). This means that if the author buys 100 books they get $1,746.50 which is more than most vanity press books would charge. The author ends up selling the books “at cost” so say $17.50 a book which is at least “fairly reasonable” and they make nothing. I even know some PublishAmerica authors that sell their books at a loss – For instance $15.00 while paying $17.47 to buy them just to get a “following” for a second book published through someone else.

BREAKING IT ALL DOWN
So given what we have learned here, and assuming a book is sold through a bookstore who uses a wholesaler (most common) and the author has a agent with a10% commission, let’s examine where the money goes for a $12.00 book:

  • $4.80 – Bookstore (40% of list – buys book at 60% discount)
  • $2.40 – Wholesaler (20% of list – diff between 40% and 60%)
  • $3.60 – Publisher (30% of list – pays wholesaler and author)
  • $0.12 – Agent (10% of author’s 10%)
  • $1.08 – Author (90% of author’s 10%)

Of course the book store, or online retailer may receive less if they decide to put the book on sale etc. It is common for Amazon to discount books 10 – 20% do the consumer would get a bit of that money back in their pocket.

I hope this helps explain royalties at a very high level. If you have any questions please feel free to add comments below.

Friday, January 23, 2009

The Green New Future

Today Obama signed an executive order reversing Bush's Mexico City policy. In other words, international family planning clinics that discuss or provide abortions can now receive U.S. money (unlike when Bush was in office).

Ya'll, the world has too many people in it. Props to Obama for supporting family planning.

(Regardless of whether you feel abortion is acceptable or not, isn't it important to allow people access to all the proper information and not prevent good organizations from receiving much-needed money because they differ on one point of family planning?)

Believers Bus


Has anyone seen this bus?

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

More Comments on the Bright New Future

Everyone knows I am prone to pessimism. Everyone knows I have been embarrassed by my country. I have held up other nations who have long elected women to top office. I have threatened to run away to Canada. I have been unable to embrace Obama's message of hope.

But the one message that hit me most today, aside from the millions of people chanting our new President's name in the terrible cold, was that the reason our country is actually great is the peaceful transfer of power. No matter how power-hungry Cheney might be, no matter how good a president Bush thinks he is, they calmly step aside (or roll aside, as the case may be) when their power expires.

No matter how pessimistic I may be about our country, this is not Russia. Or Zimbabwe. It is a democracy, and we should all choose to participate and never take things lying down (ahem, Al Gore).

P.S. Dear Al, I can't thank you enough for all the work you have done for the environment.

P.P.S. Best of luck to you, Teddy.

Notes from the Bright New Future

Barack Obama is officially the President of the United States. I actually watched the inauguration, and enjoyed performances by the likes of Aretha Franklin. I even enjoyed the benediction given by Rev. Joseph E. Lowery, founder of the Southern Christian Leadership Conference with MLK Jr, despite my aversion to religion in government.

Here are some of the highlights I found in Obama's speech:

Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some, but also our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age.

...

...and each day brings further evidence that the ways we use energy strengthen our adversaries and threaten our planet.

...

We will restore science to its rightful place, and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its cost. We will harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. And we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age. All this we can do. All this we will do.

...

And those of us who manage the public's dollars will be held to account — to spend wisely, reform bad habits, and do our business in the light of day — because only then can we restore the vital trust between a people and their government.

...

And so to all other peoples and governments who are watching today, from the grandest capitals to the small village where my father was born: know that America is a friend of each nation and every man, woman, and child who seeks a future of peace and dignity, and we are ready to lead once more.

...

With old friends and former foes, we will work tirelessly to lessen the nuclear threat, and roll back the specter of a warming planet.

...

And to those nations like ours that enjoy relative plenty, we say we can no longer afford indifference to suffering outside our borders; nor can we consume the world's resources without regard to effect. For the world has changed, and we must change with it.

...

For as much as government can do and must do, it is ultimately the faith and determination of the American people upon which this nation relies.

Obviously, I particularly enjoyed the parts where he placed responsibility on the people, and where he mentioned the environment! Read the full text of the speech here.

In Honor of the Bright New Future: Green News

Green America posted some ideas for how to fix our broken economy in a green way. Some would need to be enacted by the government, but some you can work on yourself. So instead of dwelling on how much the economy sucks, think about how you can help in a way that's not just 'spend, spend, spend.'

Solutions from the Green Economy
January 15, 2008

Green economyEveryone now understands that the economy is broken.

While many name the mortgage and credit-default-swap crises as culprits, they are only the most recent indicators of an economy with fatal design flaws. Our economy has long been based on what economist Herman Daly calls “uneconomic growth” where increases in the GDP come at an expense in resources and well-being that is worth more than the goods and services provided. When GNP growth exacerbates social and environmental problems—from sweatshop labor to manufacturing toxic chemicals—every dollar of GNP growth reduces well-being for people and the planet, and we’re all worse off.

Our fatally flawed economy creates economic injustice, poverty, and environmental crises. It doesn’t have to be that way. We can create a green economy: one that serves people and the planet and offers antidotes to the current breakdown.
Here are six green-economy solutions to today’s economic mess.

1. Green Energy—Green Jobs
A crucial starting place to rejuvenate our economy is to focus on energy. It’s time to call in the superheroes of the green energy revolution—energy efficiency, solar and wind power, and plug-in hybrids—and put their synergies to work with rapid, large-scale deployment. This is a powerful way to jumpstart the economy, spur job creation (with jobs that can’t be outsourced), declare energy independence, and claim victory over the climate crisis.

2. Clean Energy Victory Bonds
How are we going to pay for this green energy revolution? We at Green America propose Clean Energy Victory Bonds. Modeled after victory bonds in World War II, Americans would buy these bonds from the federal government to invest in large-scale deployment of green energy projects, with particular emphasis in low-income communities hardest hit by the broken economy. These would be long-term bonds, paying an annual interest rate, based in part on the energy and energy savings that the bonds generate. During WWII, 85 million Americans bought over $185 billion in bonds—that would be almost $2 trillion in today’s dollars.

3. Reduce, Reuse, Rethink
Living lightly on the Earth, saving resources and money, and sharing (jobs, property, ideas, and opportunities) are crucial principles for restructuring our economy. This economic breakdown is, in part, due to living beyond our means—as a nation and as individuals. With the enormous national and consumer debt weighing us down, we won’t be able to spend our way out of this economic problem. Ultimately, we need an economy that’s not dependent on unsustainable growth and consumerism. So it’s time to rethink our over-consumptive lifestyles, and turn to the principles of elegant simplicity, such as planting gardens, conserving energy, and working cooperatively with our neighbors to share resources and build resilient communities.

4. Go Green and Local
When we do buy, it is essential that those purchases benefit the green and local economy—so that every dollar helps solve social and environmental problems, not create them. Our spending choices matter. We can support our local communities by moving dollars away from conventional agribusiness and big-box stores and toward supporting local workers, businesses, and organic farmers.

5. Community Investing
All over the country, community investing banks, credit unions, and loan funds that serve hard-hit communities are strong, while the biggest banks required bailouts. The basic principles of community investing keep such institutions strong: Lenders and borrowers know each other. Lenders invest in the success of their borrowers—with training and technical assistance along with loans. And the people who provide the capital to the lenders expect reasonable, not speculative, returns. If all banks followed these principles, the economy wouldn’t be in the mess it’s in today.

6. Shareowner Activism
When you own stock, you have the right and responsibility to advise management to clean up its act. Had GM listened to shareholders warning that relying on SUVs would be its downfall, it would have invested in greener technologies, and would not have needed a bailout. Had CitiGroup listened to its shareowners, it would have avoided the faulty mortgage practices that brought it to its knees. Engaged shareholders are key to reforming conventional companies for the transition to this new economy – the green economy that we are building together.

It’s time to move from greed to green.

--Alisa Gravitz


See the full article here. And while you're at it, check out the Responsible Shopper website to find out what corporations you can buy from to do the least damage, environmentally and socially.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Separation of Church and State

Here's a question: Why is religion involved in inauguration of the President? I was pretty sure that here in America we believed in the separation of church and state. Others have sued over this same point.

To compound the problem even more, of course, Obama picked Rick Warren to deliver the invocation. Rick Warren rises prominently to near the top of my list of "people I don't like," largely for his role in support of Proposition 8 and other activist stances against gay marriage, despite the fact that he loves "gays and straights." Obama of course defended his choice, saying the two don't have to agree on everything. And pat him on the back, he let a gay bishop perform the invocation at a lesser ceremony that was held Sunday.

Nevertheless, the honor bestowed upon Warren seems a bit high and mighty for someone with such a die-hard anti-civil rights belief. There have been recent protests in Atlanta and California.

Come on, Obama, I know you're trying to show us damn liberals that you're not afraid to go center, but surely you could have picked someone other than Warren. Or maybe you could have brought up the point that religion doesn't belong in the inauguration. Have a separate service, if you're so inclined, but in this day and age, is there really a need for opening prayers and swearing on the bible?

I firmly believe in working with people who have different beliefs, but sometimes you just need to tell people they are wrong. And actively destroying a small bastion of gay marriage is wrong. Don't stand there and condone it, Obama. Stand up for your beliefs.

Picking Rick Warren just doesn't seem like the voice of hope and change to me.

Stranger Evangelism


Stranger evangelism. This is the idea that you purposefuly approach a complete stranger and share with them the gospel message. But is it Biblical? It would seem so. In fact Jesus regulary witnessed to people he had never met before. I've been hard pressed to find anyone Jesus is recorded having witnessed to who he had met before. What about the apostles? It is recorded they met with a lady called Lydia at a river bank. They had never met before and they shared the gospel with her. She was converted and baptised there and then. We read of Philip who was sent by the Holy Spirit to witness to an Ethiopian eunuch. They had never met before however the eunuch believed and was baptised. In fact the New Testament is full of such encounters. Suprisingly I cannot find evidence for the modern method of evangelising the lost called 'Friendship Evangelism.' It is true the mad man of Gadarene wanted to follow Jesus but was instructed by Our Lord to stay and tell his countrymen, but he was a citizen of Ten Cities! "And he departed and began to publish in Decapolis the great things Jesus had done" Mark 5:20. It would seem the Biblical model is to go to complete strangers and witness to them. Every Christian will testify to the fact that sharing the love of Christ with those closest to you has never been easy. For most they cant get passed who you used to be and are pretty much blinded to the new creature you are now in Christ. It is my conclusion after regulary witnessing over a seven year period that strangers are far more easier to share the gospel with. If every Christian witnessed regulary to complete strangers eventually, my unsaved family members and friends would be all reached. Perhaps it may catch on!

Fabulous Find



The sheer quantity of things people put out on the side of the street in San Francisco is impressive. This find puts an end to a 1.5 year ongoing argument between me and Matt about him needing a desk (that isn't also my place of business). Matt didn't want to pay for one. So our new free acquisition (although possibly a dresser?) solves the dilemma - somewhere to put the crap that belong on his desk. Meanwhile, he can still use Dave (the blue thing at the side) as his laptop table.

The excitement was slightly diminished when we found the corner of a condom wrapper inside...

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Marketing #1: Author Websites

In today's post I thought I would cover your website. I've already blogged on the #2 Marketing tool -- bookmarks so today I thought I should do #1 - Websites.

I was giving a seminar a few months back and one of the authors in the audience said ... you don't really need a website you needs a web presence. I'm afraid I'm going to have to respectfully disagree. Every author needs a website. Period.

THE COST
The cost of websites is minimal. There are generally two aspects to the cost

  • Registering a URL (required) - the name of your site
  • Hosting (optional)
I use GoDaddy.com and to register a name it is $9.99 a year. And with that you can get free hosting. The hosting costs $4.74 for 12 months ($56.88 for the year). The only difference between free hosting and paying the $57 is that you will have a few adds at the top of your screen when you have a free account.

Here is an example of a website with ads (i.e. free hosting). Everything above the dark bar is put on automatically by GoDaddy. If you pay the $57/year that disappears. I personally think it is worth that small fee to be free of ads.

YOUR URL
I personally recommend that you pick a URL based on your name not your book's name. Even if you have only one book now you might have more books in the future. If you really want to you can buy 2 URL's (your one for you and one for your book). I wouldn't recommend doing up separate pages for both - just have one website and "redirect" to the other. That way you have only one site to pay hosting on and only one site to maintain. To do the redirection make a file called .htaccess and place a line like the following in it:
Redirect /path-of-file-to-be-redirected URL-of-page-to-go-to
So if your names is Johnathan Strange the best URL I would recommend is www.JohnathanStrange.com. Unfortunately there are several authors with Michael's name so we were not able to get that URL because it was already taken - we opted for http://www.michaelsullivan-author.com/. When picking your URL remember that only letters, numbers, and hyphens are allowed.

WHAT TO PUT ON YOUR WEBSITE
In general I recommend you have pages for at least the following:
  • Books
  • Reviews
  • News
  • Author Bio
  • Contact
THE BOOKS PAGE

Above is a portion of the books page for Michael's website. The books page should have the following:

  • The cover of the book
  • Back of the book "blurb"
  • Reviews or testimonials
  • A link to buy the book (either direct from you or Amazon)
  • A sample chapter
  • Book Trailer (optional)
  • Your ISBN #'s

Of the list above - the most important (IMO) are your sample chapter, the "buy link" and your ISBN's. Having a place where people can "try before they buy" is important. When you meet a "resistant" buyer telling them to go read a sample chapter on-line is a great way to convert them to a sale. The reason you want your ISBN listed prominently is that only the most successful authors have their books sitting on the bookstore shelves. For most they will have to be special ordered and coming in armed with the ISBN will make that process easy.

THE REVIEWS PAGE
Reviews sell...period. One of the things you need to do as an author is encourage those you talk to that enjoy your book to post reviews on-line. Then you need to repeat these testimonials on your website. After about 3 months after release Michael's site had 49 reviews (24 from Amazon, 19 from GoodReads, 6 from Shelfari). I made a table on the review page with the date of the review, its source (including a link so people could go to it) what the ranking was (5 star, 4 star etc) and either all or some of the posting. If the person made a long post - I took the "best paragraph" and posted a link to it so they could read the whole thing if they wanted.

NEWS PAGE
This is an important page to show how active you are. If you are not currently doing press releases....start it is a way to generate some 'buzz' about your book and there are a lot of free sites to post your press releases to (again more in another post). Here use the table format like for reviews and list things such as:

  • Awards you were nominated for or won
  • Author interviews you did (with links to then of course)
  • Book Bloggers who reviewed your book (with links of course)
  • Upcoming Events - including Conventions, book clubs, and book signings
  • Recent News - A summary of all your press releases - did you expand your website, post a free chapter online, make a trailer, go to a conference - these are all things to highlight in your news area.
  • Previous Events - Especially important if you don't have any recent book events - this way people can see where you have been in the past and it helps to establish "legitimacy" to your book.
One thing to note - if you use BookTours (Again more on this in the future) - you can put a "widget" on your news page that will automatically list any book signings you have entered on that site. I have one running along the left side of Michael's News Page.

CONTACT PAGE
Always leave a way for readers, reviewers, or others to contact you. This can be as simple as listing your e-mail address or having a form where people can sign in and leave their information and notes. Encourage people to tell you how they liked (or didn't like) your book, or post typos etc. If filling out a form - make sure you store their email address and send them a personal thank you afterwards.

So that's about it for Websites - I encourage you to go out and look at Michael's Site to see how I did his - be sure to "steal" as necessary. I'll talk more in another post about SEO (Search Engine Optimization) but this should be a good amount to get you started.

Friday, January 16, 2009

Intro to Direct Selling

Every author should offer the ability for the readers to buy directly from them (unless your publisher strictly forbids it). If not self published make sure this is fine with your publisher but I've yet to hear of one that does not allow and all encourage this practice. Most publishers sell books to the authors at a discount with the expectation that they will sell them direct.

WHAT YOU WILL NEED
  • A good supply of your books (100 - 300)
  • A way to accept credit cards (PayPal or Google Payments)
  • A "buy now button"
  • A promotional offer
  • Shipping material (see post)
  • Sales Tax
BOOKS
If you are published through someone else. The "author discount" varies greatly from publisher to publisher. I think iUniverse has a 35% discount, Michael's publisher offers 50% discount and pays for the shipping. When signing a contract you should consider carefully what "your cost" to purchase one of your own books should be. Instance, Publish America is well known for high list prices and low author's discounts making it nearly impossible for an author to sell their own books directly (Publish America is a whole topic on itself that I will blog on at some point.

NOTE: if you are published by someone like iUniverse you might still be able to print yourself from what I can see their contract is "non exclusive" so if you can get a print ready .pdf from them no reason you can't have 100 - 300 books printed independent from them - or at least that what it looks like to me - I don't know I would never use one of these firms (we'll discuss that more in the future too).

If you are self-published and using CreateSpace and/or LightningSource to get your books into the distribution chain POD (print on demand) DO NOT buy your "direct sales copies from them. They are setup to do books one at a time and this model by its vary nature leads to a higher cost per book. You already have a digital file - all you need is a bunch of books printed. I highly recommend Apex Book Printing. Let's do a comparison. Let's say you have a 320 page book and you want 100 to sell directly (trust me you can sell this much EASILY). The choices are:
  • LightningSource = .90 + .013(320) = $5.06
  • CreateSpace = .85 + .012(320) = $4.69
  • Apex (from a recent quote) $411.36/100 = $4.11
You will save $0.95 - 0.58 on each book - enough to pay for credit card processing. If you increase the order to 300 (my recommendation) it gets even better:
  • LightningSource = .90 + .013(320) = $5.06
  • CreateSpace = .85 + .012(320) = $4.69
  • Apex (from a recent quote) $1,000.97/300 = $3.33
  • McNaughton & Gunn (from a recent quote ($4,356.33/2,000) = $2.18
A savings of $2.23 to $1.36 per book - that is much more than most royalty payments!!

CREDIT CARD PROCESSING
Many people are intimidated by the complexities of setting up an "online store". There are many choices out there and the fees and costs seem intimidating. If you have investigated an "online store" you are over complicating things. I'll make this real easy on you...You don't need an online store - you need a "buy now button". These are as simple to implement as falling off a log. Don't be intimidated. Both PayPal and Google Payments offer "the little guys" access to credit card processing without all the hassles of setting up a merchant account. I've used both and I'm going to focus on PayPal only because it is what I currently use and am most familiar with.

CREDIT CARD FEES
Again if you had a "on-line store" there are all kinds of monthly fees and fees for getting a merchant account and so on. But if you use PayPal there is $0 setup and $0 monthly fees. This is HUGE! Yes their "per transaction fee" is a bit high - but if is more than worth it to have a way for people to buy right away. They don't need to have a PayPal account - they can use any credit card to buy from you.

Okay so what are the transaction fees? If you sell less than $3,000 a month (a pretty safe bet) the fees are $0.30 + 2.9%. So if you sell your book for $15.00 you need to give PayPal $0.74. Not too bad - and trust me it is worth it - you WILL see the difference if you offer this option.

ADDITIONAL BENEFIT OF PAYPAL
When you use the PayPaloption they have a really nice "merchant center" - you come in each morning see your orders and can print shipping labels right from there. It makes it easy to address your orders and you will can add tracking for $.018 and it does MEDIA MAIL labels - again worth the price of admission right there.

NO FEE PAYPAL TRANSACTIONS
There is a way to use PayPal and have no transactions - basically both parties need to have a PayPal account and you transfer money between them -but you can't do that automatically like you can with the other method and it means a number of emails going back and forth between you and your buyer you'll waste more time than the $0.74 it is much more convenient to just check your PayPal account in the morning and find 3 - 10 orders just sitting there waiting for you to process.

BUY NOW BUTTON
Again I'll do a full step by step on this in a future post - but it really is very simple. You go into your PayPal account. Specify some simple settings like the price of the book, various options (signed/unsigned) additional fields for users to tell you more - like if you want to have it signed to someone in particular etc. This gives you a piece of .html code - you just copy and paste it into your site - and presto - people can buy from you immediately with any credit card and you'll get an email and have an order waiting for you to process in PayPal. See I told you it was easy!

PROMOTIONAL OFFER
People always like "getting a deal" and a special offer will bring in more sales then selling list price. The good news is that since you are selling direct you have much more margin to play with and still make a good profit. Plus you have something to offer them that they can't get anywhere else - your signature!

Two choices
Usually I recommend that you offer either free shipping or 20% off the cover price. Either one will work out well for you. If you charge shipping make sure it is not too high. I suggest $3.00 for standard shipping and $5.00 for express. Again see this post for full details on shipping costs.

Signed copies
By default you should "sweeten" your offer with a signed copy. This costs you nothing and adds significant value to the purchase. Some people have asked if they should charge more for a signed copy - I say no. It sends the wrong impression, after all most people here are not household names and they want to create a relationship with their customers. Asking for an extra $1.00 or so just makes you look cheap and "self-important". Take the high road and give it for free.

That being said..you should also offer the ability not to sign. Some people are "funny" about having stuff in their books so give them the option either way. Also add a field (easy with PayPal button) where they can specify "who" to make it out to so they can buy a signed copy for their friends and family - it makes a great gift.

SHIPPING MATERIALS
This is covered pretty thoroughly in this post. The bottom line is budget $0.27 for shipping materials.

SALES TAX
You only have to pay sales tax when people from your state buy your books - out of state sales do not have sales tax. Again PayPal will do this automatically for you (i.e. add it to the order and charge the customer) you just pass this money directly to your states revenue department so there is no effect on the overall profitability - it is just a "pass through" expense.

EXAMPLE PROFIT SCENARIOS
Okay let's take some examples. I'll start with Michael's book which has a 50% author discount and sells for $11.99. When a copy is sold Michael receives a royalty of 25% of the net price paid to the publisher. Since most distribution chains have a 40 - 55% discount this means he gets a royalty of $1.80 to $1.34. (Another common royalty model is 10% of list price or $1.20)

20% discount option + $3.00 shipping
In this option the customer pays $9.60 + $3.00 = $12.60 - just a tad higher then getting in the bookstore but it is signed. Michael's costs would be:
  • $6.00 for book (paid to publisher)
  • $0.67 for Credit Card Processing
  • $2.58 for Media Mail
  • $0.18 for Confirmation tracking
  • $0.27 for shipping materials
His profit is $12.60 - $9.70 = $2.90 which is 160% - 220% more than his royalty.

Free shipping option
In this option the customer pays $11.99 - exactly what they would pay if they went to the bookstore and a little less than if they did Amazon and had to pay the $3.99 for shipping. The credit card charges change from $0.67 to $0.65 all else remains the same. His profit is $11.99 - $9.68 = $2.31 which is 128% - 172% more than his royalty.

Self published options
If we would have gone the "self publishing" route the equation gets even better. The price per book goes down from $6.00 to $3.33 so the 20% discount option would have a profit of $5.57 and the free shopping $4.98 which is potentially more than four times the royalty.

Selling direct
When selling direct - for instance to friends, co-workers, people at book clubs, people at book fairs the equation gets even better because you usually take cash and don't have the shipping fees etc. I usually recommend a 20% discount when selling direct. For Michael's book I make it an even $10.00 (when selling in state I make it $9.52 so with tax it comes to an even $10.00) this means he pockets $3.52 for each book he sells and would have pocketed $6.19 if self published.

WRAPPING IT ALL UP
Direct selling is the most profitable way for an author to get money in his pocket he receives much more than sales done through bookstores and Amazon where his royalty is a small in comparison. With PayPal there is no setup fees or monthly fees and there is more than enough profit to account for their transaction fees. It is simple to setup and easy to process the sales - simply click to print a label, stick it in a bag, and drop it in a mailbox. If you are not direct mail selling make sure to get this on your to do list right away.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Packaging - Mailers

Since I covered the various mailing options in a recent post I thought I would finish out the topic with recommendations about "what" to ship your books in. Generally you have the following choices:
  • Box
  • Rigid Mailer
  • Padded Mailers
  • Bubble Wrap Mailers

There are plenty of expensive ways to get these materials - going to the office supply store is one that I don't recommend. The best thing to do is buy them from a packaging wholesaler. I did a bit of research and I recommend ULINE they are a large supplier with a wide selection and had the best prices I could find.

WEIGHT
When considering a mailing material - to me the #1 concern should be weight. You don't want to artificially increase the cost of your book because you have crossed the line to a new weight category. If you have a book that ways about 1 lb. This might not be so big of a concern because all of the options will keep you under 2 lb (next level) but if you are at 1 lb 12 oz then you are really going to care.

PROTECTION
Making sure your book arrives in good condition is also a consideration. You want a mailer that will protect it from water...what if it sits outside on a step in the rain before the person gets it? Also protection of the "corners" is a concern you don't want them bent or crushed etc.

COST
In general any cost you incur is either passed on to the consumer or taken from your profit. The shipping material therefore should be as economical as possible it's just not a thing worth spending a lot on this and artificially increase your price or decrease your profit. The best way to control this cost is "buy in bulk" and use free options from the USPS. More on this in a minute.

BOXES
I would not recommend Boxes. Their problems:

  • Hard to get one that fits the right height of your book
  • Expensive (relative to other options)
  • Difficult to store
  • Takes time to "assemble"
  • Not self-sealing
  • Not waterproof
  • Heaviest option

ULINE does offer a nice "variable height folding box that accommodates 1/2", 1", 1 1/2", 2" but at $0.53 each they are costly

MAILERS
With boxes eliminated mailers are your next choice. The biggest issue with them is determining the "right" size. ULINE does a really good job listing both interior and exterior sizes. I recommend you choose a few options and ask for "samples" they will gladly mail these at no charge . Find the one where you book fits snugly but not too tight (don't want to damage the book getting it in or out then buy them by the case (Usually 50 or 100 per).

I personally like "bubble wrap mailers" - they are light, inexpensive and provide good protection both on edges and weather. I did here from one customer that one of his corners was a bit damaged but that may have been a fluke - I might do some "rigid mailers" in the future. I don't recommend the "padded" I don't think there is enough protection and I don't trusts them against weather.

The following chart shows the various costs for mailers that fit my husband's book "The Crown Conspiracy" well. His is a 5 1/2" x 8 1/2" book with about 3/4" of a spine. I use Hefty #S-996 mailers which are 7 1/4" x 12" outside dimension.


TypePart # per Case Cost per case Unit cost
Brown Bubble wrapS-9986 100$26$0.26
White Bubble wrapS-5632100$28$0.28
Brown PaddedS-1413100$21$0.21
White Poly PaddedS-7544100$27$0.27
Brown PaddedS-227100$24$0.24
White PaddedS-7530100$30$0.30
RigidS-917200$74$0.37

I ordered 200 and have just cracked my second box. I will probably shift to a "poly bubble" for my next order because the paper ones sometimes have been "punctured" although not a problem for protection - it just doesn't "look" as good to the customer.

FREE SHIPPING MATERIALS
Don't forget if you mail priority that the USPS provides free mailing materials. If I'm sending a single book - I put it inside a bubble wrap bag then inside the priority envelope because otherwise the book would slide around a bit and might get "scratched". When doing 2 I can put both of them in a priority envelope side by side very snugly so no extra material is needed. If I have an order of 3 or more I use a priority box.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Cockroach - Rawi Hage

This was book 4 out of 5 in my Giller read-athon.  I was really looking forward to reading this book since it had been named as the favourite to win the Giller this year (as Hage won a few years ago for DeNiro's Game),  and though I wasn't impressed at first, the book did improve the further I got through it.  It could be summed up, if it were subtitled "Cockroach:  Ramblings of a delusional thief who believes he is a cockroach, following a failed suicide attempt".

I think what grated on me most was the style - very much stream-of-thought - which made it very rambly and slow to go anywhere.  But once I latched onto the plot, that was easier to overcome.  And it was interesting to get into the head of a delusional thief who believes he is a cockroach!  Not something that I experience every day.  And I don't want to be the grammar police, but would a few quotation marks once in a while hurt anyone?  305 pages, lots of dialogue, and not a single quotation mark.  He may have been striving for ambiguity - there was certainly some of that, as I didn't know in places if the words were said out loud or not - but I did find it frustrating.

The plot itself was interesting, once it got going.  The unnamed narrator is an immigrant from an unspecified middle east country (more ambiguity here!) - my guess was Syria or Lebanon - living in Montreal, interacting mainly with other immigrants.  Having lived in Montreal for the 4 years that I was at McGill, it was fun to come across locations that were familiar.  It is always fun to read books set in places that you know.  The ending is beautifully written (I'm not going to give it away) in its inevitability.

So a mixed review here.  Ended better than it started, an interesting cast of characters, but written in a style that I didn't enjoy (though someone else may love the style).

I'm going to have to pause before reading the 5th and final Giller nominee, as I have 2 books borrowed from the public library that will be due back at the end of the month, and they have to take priority in my reading list.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Demystifying the Amazon Sales Rank

I’ve been asked this many times, most notably today on a Shelfari Writer’s Group. How can I tell how many books I’ve sold on Amazon from my sales rank? The answer is simple – you can’t. The formula is a proprietary and a highly guarded secret of Amazon. There are many minds larger than mine who have spent months and sometimes years studying this subject and they can’t tell you either. But that doesn’t mean you can’t find out some good information from your sales rank.

WHAT IS THE AMAZON SALES RANK
The picture to the left was taken from my husband’s book “The Crown Conspiracy”. The arrow indicates the current sales rank is 57,194 which means quite simply that at this point in time there are 57,193 books that are “better” selling then his at this point in time. Sounds pretty bad huh? Not really when you consider the number of books on Amazon (The worst rank I have seen is 6,958,847 (and I’m sure there are larger ones) which means his book sells better than at least 6,901,653. Not too bad in that context. The number really has the most to do with how long it has been since your last sale.

I DON'T SEE A RANK WHAT DOES THIS MEAN
It means that you have not sold a single book through Amazon yet. As soon as you buy one book you'll get a rank.

VOLATILITY
Now keep in mind that the rank is “at that point in time” and the numbers are updated regularly (I did some experimentation and it seems to change once an hour). The best rank I’ve ever seen for him is 27,873 the worst is 527,890. The number can vary wildly even over the period of a single day for instance on Feb 8th the ranking varied from 70,891 - 321,204).

SEASONALITY
Remember to take seasons into account when assessing your sales rank. Students buying for the upcoming semester can clog the top spots with textbooks and paperback classics in the late summer and midwinter seasons. Likewise, books without gift appeal will probably see a significant drop in the holiday months.

HOW IT WORKS?
As mentioned earlier, as soon as a single book is sold you get a ranking. Then the clock starts ticking. For each hour that goes by without a sale you climb a bit higher in the ranking (remember low rank = good, high rank = bad - you would rather be ranked 100 then 10,000). This change in ranking indicates that while you had no sales other people that were higher than you sold and they filled in the spots pushing you further up in the ranking. Then comes the time when you make a sale. When this happens there will be a dramatic change in the ranking. How far you fall depends on your past sales history and "rate" of sales. (How often you sell). Then the process begins again. This forms a series of peaks and valleys and it is the numbers on these extremes that really give you an idea of your sales. Any number "inbetween" is really just an indicator that it has been awhile since your last sale.

DID I MAKE A SALE?
As mentioned earlier, when your rank falls dramatically a sale has been made. What is more difficult to determine is was that a single sale or multiple copies. Presumably if you sold multiple books you would fall lower than if you sold one but there are two many factors related to other books to look at a single drop and say - oh that was a 1 book drop and this was a two book drop. Just because you "fall far" does not mean that a bunch of books were sold.

So, by tracking your ranking often one thing you can do is see when a sales is made.

ONE OTHER INDICATOR
When your book is first published Amazon will, as a general rule, order 2 copies. When you look at your page it will show “In Stock” and below in red there will be a message” Only 2 left in stock--order soon (more on the way). If you watch your Amazon page frequently, as I do, every once in awhile you will see that message come back then go away which means Amazon just went to the distributor to buy more books. If that message comes back and does not go away…then your book is not selling well. Many “older” titles will have both this message and a high sales rank (say 1,000,000 or more) these books are probably selling only a few a year and Amazon will only be buying them in 1’s and 2’s as they sell.

TRACKING HISTORY
While doing my research I ran across a fantastic site - Titlez (it is free) it shows the sales history for your book over time. From this I was able to determine for instance that I sold at least one book today (1/13/2009) and prior to that I sold at least one on (1/08/2009). I also can see there was a large period of time: 10/29/2008 - 11/20/2008 when I sold none ;-( I found this very interesting information. For comparison I tried this on a friend of mine book's Griffen's Daughter: Again it is quite clear when her sales are being made. 12/26/2008, 1/5/2009, 1/10,2009, 1/11/2009. This site even has the capability to compare your books to others. It is a great site.

CALCULATION MODEL CHANGES

Like search engines, who change their algorithms used to find content on web, I’m sure the calculation of Amazon Sales Ranks is revised from time to time so it is difficult to say which of the information I’m about to tell you about is “applicable” at the time of this blog. For instance, I found some data that was obviously old (for instance one post mentioned that rankings for books in the 100,000 – 500,000 range were only updated once a day but I personally saw this not be the case. In a 2008 post from Foner Books they state:

On October 14th, 2004
Amazon made the first major change to their ranking system
that I'd seen in five years. The new system is actually more transparent than
the old system. The new rank is preceded by a # and appears right on the sales
page for any book. There are two main differences between the old system and the
new system. First, the new system includes sales of both Marketplace books (used
and new) and e-books. Second, the new system is based almost entirely on "what have you done for me lately." Historical sales only have a small impact on the
decay rate.
The next few sections are taken not from my “personal” observations but from posts by others. I tried to indicate of the data when possible.

ROUGH ESTIMATE OF SALES

On August 10, 2006 the author of “Math You Can't Use: Patents, Copyright, and Software” (one of those “bigger minds” that I mentioned) wrote an automated script to take sales ranks every 20 minutes. After some analysis here is what he concluded:


1-10Oprah's latest picks
10-100The New York Times's picks
100-1,000topical rants by pundits/journalists,"classics"
1,000-500,000everything else (still selling)
500,000+everything else (technically in stock)

SALES RANK TO COPIES SOLD PER WEEK

In a 2008 post from Foner Books they presented the author proposed a logrithmic chart that allows you to approximate the numbr of copies sold per week. If we use the sales rank of approximately 60,000 from the example above then this graph estimates about 10 copies per week are selling. He mentions: "I've seen ranks as low as the mid-three millions for books that have sold a single copy, the line would be completely vertical by around 4,000,000. I cannot stress enough that checking the rank twice and looking at this graph means nothing. You have to get an average rank for at least a week for it to have any meaning at all."

EFFECTS OF TAGGING, REVIEWS, and PAGE VIEWS

Whether good reviews and number of page hits have a direct effect on the sales rank formula is unclear. I have heard that adding tags can "temporarily" effect the ranking, again I'm not sure if this is true or not. My guess is that any effect of "tagging" is short lived and the momentarily spike of good ranking corrects itself.

SOME PARTING THOUGHTS
The most important thing to remember about your sales rank is its temporary and relative nature. The Amazon rating is more like a popularity contest than the litmus test for a book’s success. The number you see on the page is merely how you’re selling compared to other titles in a very brief period. Two or three purchases of the same book within an hour can send a title skyrocketing up the rankings. Sure it’s exciting to leave a few thousand of your competitors in the dust, but unless the buying continues at a good pace, you can slip from the higher rankings fairly quickly.

But in the end, the sales rank is meant to be, in Amazon.com’s words, merely “interesting.” Don’t sweat it if you can’t figure out why your number is exactly where it is. Instead, focus your energy on making your product page as informative and consumer-friendly as possible.

The books is in the mail...

I was talking to another author today as we were planning a joint marketing direct mail. We were discussing how we would fulfill the orders and I was shocked to hear she had been mailing her books 7-day parcel post! This was costing her $4.55-$6.67 per book (depending on zone of the two addresses) when she could have been shipping them for $2.58!! So I thought today’s post should be about shipping options.

WHAT SERVICE TO USE
For people who sell books the USPS beats FedEx, UPS, and DHL hands down. Primarily because of Media Mail. Media mail is special discounted posted specifically for the printed word (You are using it when shipping manuscripts - right?). In general you will be using one of the following:
  • Media Mail – cheap shipping anywhere in the US
  • Priority Mail fixed price envelope – inexpensive 1 – 2 day delivery service
  • International Fixed price envelope – best alternative for foreign countries
  • Priority fixed priced boxes – best alternative for 3 - 10 books
MEDIA MAIL
Media Mail is used for books, film, manuscripts, printed music, printed test materials, sound recordings, play scripts, printed educational charts, loose-leaf pages and binders consisting of medical information, videotapes, and computer-recorded media like CDs and diskettes. Media Mail cannot contain advertising.

Media mail does take longer to arrive, 7 – 10 days is what is listed on the USPS website but my experience is sometimes it arrives in 2 – 5 days. To get the Media Mail postage you must clearly place MEDIA MAIL on the outside of the envelope, or use a printed Media Mail label (more on this is a minute). If you are shipping a large number of books in one order – there is some limitations on the size of the box that can be used for Media Mail (The maximum size is 108 inches in combined length and distance around the thickest part). In most cases you only have to worry about the weight. The current prices as of the date of this post are:

Weight Price
1 lb or less $2.23
1 lb 1 oz 2 lb $2.58
2 lb 1 oz 3 lb $2.93
3 lb 1 oz 4 lb $3.28
4 lb 1 oz 5 lb $3.63

For other weights or up to date postal costs click here. Most single book sales will fall into the $2.58 category. Be sure to you are accounting for the weight of packing material not just the book weight.

PRIORITY MAIL
Fixed price envelope
What if your customer wants to pay for “faster delivery” – there is a great option for this as well – Priority Mail Fixed Price envelope. The nice thing about this is they give you free packing materials (the envelope), and free tracking costs $4.80 to send it anywhere in the US. The weight of the package does not matter just that your book fits and closes on its own – you can’t have extra tape sealing it because you put in too much. Depending on the size of your book you most certainly should be able to get one book in one of these envelopes. In the case of my husband’s book I can put two side by side and “just” get it closed. So whenever I get a 2 book order I send it priority mail (The customer gests it faster and I save $0.36).

Multiple book orders – Fixed priced boxes
If you are mailing several books you might want to consider the Priority standard sized box – again the shipping material (box) is free and it does not matter how much or what you put in it just as long as they fit. There are two sizes of “standard sized boxes” the costs are shown here”

SizeUSCanada/MexicoInternational
12” x 12” x 5 ½”$13.50$32.95$53.95
11 7/8” x 3 3/8” x 13 5/8”$10.35$25.95$41.95

A good resource to keep handy is the USPS Calculator. If you are doing an unusally sized piece then this is a good link to calculate the postage for it.

INTERNATIONAL MAIL – Non Canada & Mexico
When shipping international the best choice is the “fixed priced” international envelope – you use the same fixed priced priority mail envelope mentioned above and the cost is $12.95 to send anywhere in the world. I used this to send a book to Romania once and it worked out quite well. (The book stores in Romania don’t carry all the US titles)

CANADA & MEXICO
The reason I excluded Canada and Mexico above is there are lower priced alternatives for our close“neighbors”. The price for boxes is shown above. For the fixed price envelope it is $10.95. There is no support for media mail to any country other than the US so it is best to just take the package to the post office and have them do the postage for these countries. My experience that shipping to Canada for my weight of book is about $5.50.

TRACKING NUMBERS
Tracking Priority Mail
When you ship with the priority options you get tracking for free – IF you use software to generate the printing label (which is a good idea anyway since it will standardize and validate the address etc). The easiest way to do this is print the label directly from the USPS site. Accounts are free from the US Postal Service. You can simply print the labels or also buy the postage when you print the label via a credit card. You can even save the addresses in a database so you can remail in the future. NOTE: This CANNOT be used to print a label for Media Mail. I don’t know why the USPS has not added support for this yet. When it does I’ll update this post.

Tracking Media Mail
For media mail you can get tracking for $0.18 more. A bargain at twice the price when you get a buyer telling them they did not receive the book you can see the tracking. The only way I know to do this is to generate the Media Mail label from a shipping program. The good news is there is a free one associated with PayPal so if you use this for credit card processing you will have this capability.

MAILBOX OR POST OFFICE
In these post 911 times an important thing about mailing books should be mentioned – the 13 oz rule. In general if you are mailing something more than 13 oz (which almost all books with shipping materials will be) – you can’t just put a stamp on it and drop it in the postbox at the side of the street. You MUST go to the post office…but there is an exception. If you print your mailing labels, from either the USPS, stamps.com, or Paypal then you can put them in any mailbox. The issue is traceability. When you use a printed label they can trace that back to you by how you paid for it (usually a credit card or PayPal account) if you sent a bomb or Anthrax they would be able to find you.

Bottom line – if you hand label and use a stamp – go to the post office. If you use labels and pay for postage online – mail them anywhere you like.

Well....that's all there is too it!! Much longer post then I would have thought but it does explain all the gorey details. Enjoy!